Other

Probabilistic Forecasting of Hourly Wind Power Load in South Africa


Research Areas

Currently no objects available


Publication Details

Author list: Makatjane Katleho, Shoko Claris and Moroke Ntebogang

Edition name or number: Machine Learning and Computer Vision for Renewable Energy

Publication year: 2024

Start page: 268

End page: 285

Number of pages: 18

ISSN: 9798369323564

eISSN: 9798369323564

URL: https://doi.org/10.4018/979-8-3693-2355-7.ch014



Forecasters must make some educated assumptions about future electricity demand and effectively

explain them because real electricity demand and forecasted electricity demand always differ. In

order to forecast future wind power load base stations in South Africa, the authors evaluate hourly

wind power generation in this chapter. The predicted time series can be used to show the flow of

the load demand trend for electricity. Because of the noise in the original time series, they provide

the enhanced gradient-boosted decision tree algorithm based on Kalman filter (GBDT-KF). They

compare how well the proposed GBDT-KF method performs with varying numbers of decision trees.

Re-sampling is cross-validated three times at a 10 fold interval. The employment of MSE, RMSE,

MAE, and MAPE allowed for the selection of the best model. As a result, the total findings showed

that 90% of the test data and 92% of the training data were successful. The findings of this study

will be helpful to the energy sector and decision-makers for planning and future use in the hourly

electricity forecasting domain.


Projects

Currently no objects available


Keywords

Currently no objects available


Documents

Currently no objects available


Last updated on 2024-23-10 at 15:50